The model is leaning Pittsburgh's way despite the Texans entering this game favored on the road. The Steelers cover in well over 50% of simulations and win 49% of the time, returning value at +130 odds on the money line. The total of 38.5 is the lowest of the entire wild card slate, and the model has the Over hitting in 55% of simulations.

Two of the top defenses in the league meet on Sunday afternoon with the New England Patriots hosting the Houston Texans. Houston put up 30 points last week in P